It would be in Japan’s best interest to develop better relations with Russia

As Japan stagnates in negative interest rates, coming out of a currency war with China, wages not increasing, prison population at 70 percent capacity and growing, increasing criminal activity with Japan’s elderly, decreasing long term employment opportunities and with 1,000 companies closing up just in the Tama area of Japan alone over the past ten years, it would be in Japan’s best interest to work harder at getting along with Russia and China. Relations between Russia and Japan require deeper substance between the two nations and the coming negotiations between the two countries when Japan’s Shinzo Abe visits Moscow in May, 2016 should be prepared well. Trade between the two countries is increasing which is a positive sign. Russia is well aware that Japan is being used by the Anglo-Americans against China and this is going to be a very difficult fact to get around in any Russian-Japanese negotiations. The image above gives a pretty clear indication as to why it isn’t likely Russia will turn over the Kuril Islands to Japan anytime in the near future. That purple-colored crescent represents American military presence in a large arch around Russia with the exception of the region of China.
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Source: RBTH

Why Russia and Japan should improve their bilateral relationship

March 29, 2016

by Anthony Rinna, Russia Direct

Moscow has long sought a way to counter the U.S.-Japan defense alliance in the Asia-Pacific while reducing its dependency on China as an Asian partner. Improved ties with Tokyo could be the answer.

Just when it seemed that relations between Tokyo and Moscow appeared to be moving in a positive direction, Russia announced on March, 25 that it planned to deploy missile defense systems and military drones on the disputed Kuril Islands by the end of the year. It is precisely these islands that have been the focal point of tensions between the two countries ever since the end of World War II. What remains to be seen is how the latest move impacts relations between Moscow and Tokyo.

For Russia, any attempts to forge better relations with Japan should be seen as part of its “Pivot to the East.”

Russia’s strategy not only seeks to enhance its presence in the Asia-Pacific, but also to avoid limiting its list of partners in East Asia to China. Japan and Russia have especially found ample opportunity to conduct a coordinated response to the most recent security crisis in North Korea.

Japan and Russia have also sought to increase their economic and financial ties, which are particularly important for the development of the Russian Far East.

Russia’s outreach to Japan goes farther back than the latest developments on the Korean peninsula. One year before the crisis in Ukraine, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe visited Moscow to discuss Japan-Russia collaboration on a variety of fronts.

One potential reason for Tokyo’s desires to shore up Japan-Russia ties is the prevention of the possible development of a China-Russia axis. Because the Japan-U.S. alliance represents one of the largest hard power factors in Northeast Asian security, the most plausible alternative is a strengthened China-Russia partnership.

While the containment of China remains the primary purpose of the Japan-U.S. defense apparatus, U.S. strategic containment of Russia also continues to be an important factor in the Japan-U.S. alliance, which comprises one key flank of the American strategic posture in Asia.

Therefore, as Japan and Russia seek a greater level of rapprochement and cooperation in the international arena, a major factor in Japan’s defense relationship with Russia is Japan’s alliance with the United States. In an attempt to maintain its own strong position in the Asia-Pacific, the U.S. seeks to limit potential Russian military influence in East Asia.

The current state of Japan-U.S. relations in this regard can be described as a microcosm of the Western-centric international order, which runs contrary to Russian designs for the creation of a polycentric global system of interstate relations.

If the government in Tokyo sees it as being better for Japanese interests to build a closer defense relationship with Moscow, its efforts may be hamstrung by its commitment to the U.S., and will require delicate and nimble maneuvering on Japan’s part.

Anthony V. Rinna is a Russia and Eurasia analyst for the SinoNK scholarly research group.

This is an abridged version of an article first published by Russia Direct

The opinion of the author may not necessarily reflect the position of Russia Direct, RBTH or its staff.

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18 thoughts on “It would be in Japan’s best interest to develop better relations with Russia

  1. Another way to look at it is Japan has had near zero interest rates for 15 years and still has one of the most stable currencies and highest employment rates in the world – and one of the lowest poverty rates too. There has been pain in certain sectors of the economy and overall growth has stopped. Negative population growth and aging are a big limiting factor here. But otherwise Japan has been, relatively speaking, a success economically, socially and environmentally vs. the obvious comparatives: US and EU.

    Getting closer to China and Russia is not the answer IMO. Both of these countries have deteriorating economies and broken societies because the governments are non-responsive to the peoples’ needs and they are corrupt. Sure Japan should continue to buy oil, other natutal resources and low level manufactured goods from them, but other than that, there is nothing good to come from deeper relationships.

    Japan needs to continue its path in leading the developed world into creating post-growth equilibrium and prosperity. More no longer equals better. Japan is leading the world in thinking about and realizing sustainable social, economic and environmental models that don’t rely on growth.

    • brookings hey?

      There’s a pay off though for low poverty rates and high employment re: tightly controlled immigration policy; high number of government employees; increase in military service; children living at home in increasing numbers; shrinking population; employment where wages have been stagnant for years.

      China already is living in the year 2020. Despite what western wonks report about Russia, it’s overall economy is dependent on oil for only between 21 and 26 percent of its economy. Corruption is prevalent in all countries and Russia is no worse than the EU or the US. After 70 years or more of the communist top down run economy of Russia, it is astonishing Russia has come as far as it has since 1990 under Putin. Russia contrary to again, western reporters and wonks, has brought Russia’s “brain drain” to an end. To encourage farming, the Russian government heavily subsidizes farming and encourages Russians to develop small independent farms (thank you economic sanctions). A little bump there in 2008 – whoops – but moving back to increased trade. And Russia has astonishing science programs (explains why Japan brought in a Russian company to help clean the mess up in Fukushima) in place which are completely ignored while Russia’s birth rate is increasing.

      Western researchers and wonks will never submit to Japan developing further deeper ties with China and Russia, even though for the past decade Japan’s trade with Russia continues on a graph in an upward direction. It’s diplomacy. It’s a two way street. Be nice to Russia, Japan, otherwise as Russia moves to control world oil and natural gas production, Japan can go back to the ME for its energy resources. Good bye, Saudi Arabia.

      The last thing the Anglo-Americans will allow to happen – hello Brookings!!! – is for Russia and Japan to peacefully trade. Caviar anyone? I understand Big “Z” works for Brookings?

  2. Dont disagree with your first paragraph. But I would say in balance it is better than most places where the social consequences of a faultering world economy have been much meaner. No Goldmans Sachs engineered housing crisis in Japan, right?

    The only tech I hear about coming from Russia is military or military spin off. What else? Where is the pharma, the IT, renewables? Nothing.

    China is not living in 2020. Dont be fooled by a few fancy trains and airports. Low literacy, draconian goverment with a secret police that regularly ‘disappears’ dissendents, huge income disparity and most people working the rice fields and sleeping on a dirt floor or working in a factory ala 18 century England. What is 2020 about that?

    Agree there is corruption everywhere. But there is a big difference between Hillary and her $600k speaking engagements paid for by Goldman Sachs and Putin who has an estimated personal wealth of $40 billion all stolen from Russia durring the privatization phase. $40 billion! It is a kleptocracy with Putin the biggest crook and there is no comaprison in the developed world. Need to go to Africa – Zimbabwe – to see that kind of abuse.

    Agree that it is a good thing that the US is keeping Japan close and not allowing a move towards China or Russia.

    • It’s not a “faltering world economy”. It is organized theft at the highest level. If it was an “economy” there would be some remote semblance of civility. Therefore the term “economy” is incorrect. Try uneconomic.

      Although Japan didn’t have a Goldman Sachs type housing mortgage orgy of theft, it did have BIS call Japan to Basel and threaten them, either restructure your capital interest rates or lose western markets. That’s extortion on a colossal scale – and Japan has never recovered and that was 1990.

      Putin threatened the west with war if big pharma (current vaccination protocols that predicts half the children born in the US by 2025 will have autism) and GMOs were introduced into Russia with Russia now determined to make Russia a major food exporting nation. The US and Britain are in a cyber war against Russia and it is intensifying, I’m surprised you haven’t detected this? Russia: The Road to 2030. Go read it. Your arguments are crumbling and says nothing of that high tech experimental facility in Siberia where Russia’s future scientists are converging.

      Look at the sources very carefully that put out information Vladimir Putin ripped off Russia for US$40 billion. I’m surprised you fell for this unless it is intentional. Moscow Times: Hit with cyber attacks twice last year because they were putting out bullshit stories.

      Looking forward to Shinzo Abe’s little chat at the Kremlin in Moscow in May.

  3. Oh I see. I am incorrect to call it an economy….. Thanks for correcting me professor Ome.

    Many countries have had the BIS call and all are better for it. It is important for trading partners to be transparent with each other about capital reserves and enforcing it is not extortion or anything else other than a necessity in an integrated global economy.

    Your blerb about Russia cyberwar and experimental facilities reads like bad science fiction. Meanwhile those Russians really like their iPhones and the rich ones come to hospitals in the US for surgery.

    Take your pick of sources for numbers on Putin’s stolen wealth: CNN, BBC, NYT, Al Jazerra, The Guardian. They all say between 40 and 200 billion. I guess they are all wrong? Say it. They are all wrong. BD, it is tiresome when someone just refuses to believe what everyone else in the whole fricking world is saying because they think they know better. But that is what makes your blog entertaining.

    • Reverting to condescension I see, and it’s “Professor Saitama”, so get it right or I will think you are a substandard student. You can call it whatever you want, and I’m suggesting to you that whatever you call it, it certainly isn’t “economics”, not unless you attach “criminal” to it.

      BIS interfered in Japan’s economy by forcing Japan to limit capital lending rates and resulted in forcing cheap capital into real estate which the Yakuza were more than happy to take advantage of during Japan’s real estate boom beginning in the early 90s. Japan was told by the BIS to raise the rates on capital or lose western markets. That’s transparent? You don’t think that wasn’t extortion? Countries are not better off with BIS, or the IMF. And that US$50 billion that disappeared from the IMF still isn’t known where it was sent by Russian criminals connected to Russia’s elite. Bet Putin knows where it is? Probably used it to fund BRICS as Russia has been buying up gold in record tonnages along with China. Turns out Putin is a better deal maker than Trump.

      Medical tourism is on the rise all over with the majority of Russians going to India. Same as wealthy Americans, and some not so wealthy, going to Ecuador for dental treatment because it is good treatment and less expensive with many dentists from Ecuador trained in the US.

      Western media sources: “CNN, BBC, NYT, Al Jazerra [BBC propaganda arm in the ME], The Guardian.” Get the documentation. Prove where the money is located, where it was wired and exactly what banks it is sitting in, otherwise it’s more crude western propaganda directed at Putin which the Russians warned was coming in 2014 before these slanderous reports started appearing in the media sources you used for your sources. So yes, those media sources are slander and to quote them demonstrates laziness.

      If it is tiresome then disappear and stop commentating, otherwise start providing evidence as I have been. Refute the evidence, not me, Professor JNazali, or do you prefer Professor Brookings?

  4. The notion that you need account numbers and proof of transfers before you accept that Putin has stolen wealth just shows how silly and irrational you are. You beleive all kinds of other stupid shit (cancer from pasta??!!) based on the most tenious arguements, but when the whole civilized world knows something to be true, you need proof. How about this?

    I know this guy named Bill Browder. He is a big fund manager and has been here to Tokyo a bunch of times. He runs a big hedge fund called Hermitage Capital Management, and he is a frequent speaker at Brookings. In the 90s he was Russia’s largest foreign investor and he was a close friend and supporter of Putin. Things have changed. He is now very much on the record re Putin’s stolen wealth. He says that during the first eight or 10 years it was about stealing as much money as he could. Browder believes that Putin is the richest man in the world with hundreds of billions of dollars stolen from Russia. Browder would know. He was there and had skin in the game.

    He is my source. And as far as money talks and bullshit walks. Keep Walking BD. You have no fucking idea.

    • You again. Yeah, read all about Browder back in 2011. He’s been pretty much deconstructed by people far more “professor-like” than myself. Bill Browder as the grandson of Earl Browder, the former leader of the Communist Party USA, has some serious issues. Putin either put oligarchs in prison or threw them out of Russia. Browder was considered a threat to Russia’s national security and he was tossed out. He’s been pissed ever since and the western media has certainly played with that like a matryoshka.

      As far as Browder being a source: Think I’ll call you Professor Dimwit.

      Seed money for Browder’s Hermitage Capital Management: US$25 million from Edmond Safra (torched in his room in Monaco). They tried to blame Russia for Safra going up in flames just like they tried blaming Russia for Alexander Litvinenko’s murder. Browder’s mentors: Criminals and both Maxwell and Safra are dead.

      Look, you are going to have to go back to school and get your doctorate before you can continue here.

  5. I agree I should go back to school and get a doctorate in clinical psychology so I can better understand what is at the root of your need see conspiracy in everything. What formative event in your past was it that caused this? Were you deceived in some profound way by someone important to you? Wife, parents, close friend? Or is it just over compensation for an inferiority complex. You are so smart that you can see what the mainstream always misses. I encourage you to think about this. And in the meantime, check your room for bugs and little cameras before you go to sleep. And don’t drink the tea because it might be dosed with Polonium!

    • A doctorate in clinical psychology for me? Cool. Then make sure you get your hands on the latest DSM would you? And make it the latest edition.

      Now that I checked under my bed I went back and did some further reading on Browder, turns out to be far worse than what I originally thought.

      Now leave me alone, need to get back to my conspiracies.

  6. Looks like your boy Putin had a couple of billion not to well hidden in Panema. Same leak didn’t expose any Americans.

    • Way ahead of you. My guess is as Germany draws closer to Russia, Jürgen Mossack along with the Bundesnachrichtendienst have possibly started to get serious. Putin and Assad were dragged in by association by the British (BBC).

      Wikishit: “Jürgen Mossack (born 20 March 1948) is a German-born lawyer, the co-founder of Mossack Fonseca, a law firm based in Panama with more than 40 offices worldwide.”

      Erhard Mossack, who is the father of Jürgen Mossack, was connected both to the Waffen-SS and the CIA which was organized by Reinhard Gehlan (German intelligence). Gehlan’s organization migrated into the CIA in 1947. Both Gehlan and Hitler’s little guard boy Otto Skorzeny worked for the Mossad (lot’s of Israel thieves and tax cheats), in fact, helped design it.

      Wikishit: “His father Erhard Mossack was a member of the Waffen-SS during World War II, before working for the US government, and ending up in Panama working for the United States Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), spying on Cuba.”

      And you are incorrect, Mossack Fonseca has 441 U.S. clients. Who are they? Can’t wait to find out.

  7. Yes you are way ahead of me at guessing. Which for you means picking random dots and connecting them to suit the dreary architecture of your imagination.

    When I said Americans were not exposed so far, I meant Americans of note. Obviously there are many Americans on the list but nobody who is in the public eye. This is because the Americans have had FACTA and FBARs to deal with for some time now. The ones who want to to hide something offshore do it by using a variety of structures that keep their names and nationalities off of the corporate registries and out of the computer files of the likes of Mossack Fonseca. Other nationalities are less careful about it. Indians, Pakistanis, Chinese and a very clumsy Icelander. Some US names of note might turn up but I think it is unlikely.

    Puchin’s $2 billion under the name of his violin playing buddy is laughable. He has between $40 and 200 billion in stolen assets under his control. And I imagine he is secretly happy about the press implicating him in this. He obviously has an inferiority complex. He loves his photo ops where he is riding around on horses with no shirt and flying fighter jets. This is more of the same. Look how much money I have everyone! What a loser.

    • Back tracking hey? The Russian/Putin dislike, animosity, hatred whatever, is being dished out for simpletons like you. This isn’t journalism, which is where the 2.6 terrabytes of data was dumped: the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ).

      Now pay attention simpleton. I don’t have to keep coming back here to entertain you. ICIJ is run by:

      Ford Foundation
      Carnegie Endowment
      Rockefeller Family Fund
      W K Kellogg Foundation
      Open Society Foundation (George Soros)

      They don’t like BRIC competition. To only publish very selected data from the “leaked” data (love the name: Panama Papers) has really only two purposes:

      1) Leaking the data smears the assorted “enemies of the empire” even if only by association like Putin and Syria’s Assad.

      2) It lets other important people (in their own eyes because who really gives a shit about them), those mentioned in the database but not yet published about, know that the U.S. or its “media partner” can, at any time, expose their dirty laundry to the public. It is thereby a perfect blackmailing instrument.

      See you are still reaching out to Browder for your substandard take on Putin. Now get me a coffee while I’m reading this, and make it black, and none of that pansy ass Starbucks sweetened crap you drink. Then when you get back, go check the Panama scandal of the 1890s because it’s being repeated.

  8. Actually, I think your post has some sense to it for a change. It is certainly possible that the US govt and friends had something to do with the ‘leak’. They hate this offshore stuff. They think it is used to evade taxes and they think it is used by terrorists to fund bad deeds. Not wrong on either account. It drives them crazy that little shit holes like the BVI and Caymans are just off their coast but cannot be controlled. It is an interesting conundrum. The US says it values freedom and right to privacy, but it forces its citizens to disclose holdings and report transactions that are completely outside of its jurisdiction. Yet they have no means to enforce, they have no moral basis and virtually no other civilized country in the world has similar laws. Hell the BVI is essentially part of the UK. Why dont they do somnething about it? So Obama and Co. love leaks like this because it scares some people into disclosing and it keeps the offshore industry from growing too big. Better than nothing.

    Kudos to the Russians, Indians, Africans, Pakistanis etc. who long ago realized, in the words of the Poet Lareate of Rock and Roll who happens to be in Japan for a few weeks, “Steal in little and they call you a theif, steal alot and they call you king.”

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